Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000143 0.000157 0.000173 0.000191 0.000210 0.000232 0.000257
2025-10-26 0.000115 0.000136 0.000161 0.000191 0.000228 0.000272 0.000328
2025-11-02 0.000097 0.000121 0.000150 0.000189 0.000239 0.000303 0.000391
2025-11-09 0.000085 0.000111 0.000143 0.000188 0.000250 0.000333 0.000455
2025-11-16 0.000075 0.000101 0.000135 0.000185 0.000257 0.000357 0.000512
2025-11-23 0.000067 0.000093 0.000128 0.000181 0.000259 0.000375 0.000562
2025-11-30 0.000062 0.000089 0.000126 0.000183 0.000273 0.000409 0.000640
2025-12-07 0.000059 0.000085 0.000124 0.000187 0.000287 0.000446 0.000727
2025-12-14 0.000054 0.000080 0.000119 0.000183 0.000289 0.000464 0.000785
2025-12-21 0.000049 0.000074 0.000112 0.000176 0.000286 0.000471 0.000824
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000071 0.000110 0.000177 0.000295 0.000501 0.000907
2026-01-04 0.000044 0.000068 0.000108 0.000178 0.000305 0.000532 0.000999
2026-01-11 0.000041 0.000065 0.000105 0.000176 0.000309 0.000557 0.001083
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000063 0.000103 0.000178 0.000321 0.000595 0.001203
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000059 0.000099 0.000176 0.000325 0.000620 0.001299
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000057 0.000097 0.000175 0.000332 0.000653 0.001416
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000054 0.000094 0.000173 0.000334 0.000675 0.001513
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000051 0.000090 0.000168 0.000333 0.000689 0.001594
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000050 0.000089 0.000171 0.000346 0.000736 0.001767
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000049 0.000089 0.000174 0.000361 0.000790 0.001967
2026-03-08 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000171 0.000361 0.000809 0.002075
2026-03-15 0.000024 0.000044 0.000082 0.000164 0.000354 0.000809 0.002130
2026-03-22 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000165 0.000363 0.000850 0.002314